Golfstradamus: Northern Trust Open

Hola, friends and degenerate wagerers! Good to see you again. If you’re wondering why I’m so happy, it’s because it’s finally above freezing in my neck of the woods and the PGA Tour’s Florida swing is just one week away. Before we get too excited, however, there’s one last leg of the west coast swing before we can start counting down the days ’til spring. 

The PGA Tour heads to Los Angeles and Riviera Country Club for the Northern Trust Open. There are plenty of big names in the field this week and a couple guys who could surprise. If you’re looking to make some money on this week’s action, you’ve come to the right place. Get your pencils ready: 

Northern Trust Open
Riviera Country Club — Pacific Palisades, Calif. 
February 19-22

ODDS to Win:
Bubba Watson 10/1
Dustin Johnson 12/1
Jordan Spieth 12/1
Jimmy Walker 15/1
Brandt Snedeker 20/1
Hideki Matsuyama 25/1
Sergio Garcia 30/1
Jim Furyk 30/1
Bill Haas 30/1
Nick Watney 30/1
Charl Schwartzel 30/1
J.B. Holmes 30/1
Harris English 30/1
Keegan Bradley 40/1
Webb Simpson 40/1
Hunter Mahan 40/1
Justin Thomas 50/1
Ryan Moore 50/1
Graham DeLaet 50/1
Gary Woodland 50/1
Bernd Wiesberger 60/1
Russell Henley 60/1
Brendon Todd 60/1
Charley Hoffman 60/1
Kevin Chappell 60/1
Sang-Moon Bae 60/1
Marc Leishman 60/1
Robert Streb 60/1
Charlie Beljan 60/1
Charles Howell III 80/1
Scott Stallings 80/1
Luke Donald 80/1
Kevin Na 80/1
Brendan Steele 80/1
Shawn Stefani 80/1
Aaron Baddeley 80/1
Francesco Molinari 80/1
Brian Harman 80/1
Alex Prugh 80/1
Pat Perez 80/1
Matt Jones 100/1
K.J. Choi 100/1
Rory Sabbatini 100/1
Paul Casey 100/1
Jason Kokrak 100/1
Cameron Tringale 100/1
Ernie Els 100/1
Brendon de Jonge 100/1
Tony Finau 100/1
Field (all others) 3/1

The first name this week is the guy in the picture at the top of your screens — Keegan Bradley. Why Keegan? Well, any time a guy flat-out says a course is his favorite on tour, you’ve kind of got to like his chances. Bradley has been solid thus far in 2015 but hasn’t been great. A venue he loves and has had great success at in the past could be just what he needs to get back into the winner’s circle. At 40/1, you’ll be rewarded handsomely on Monday. 

Keegan Bradley Loops for his Buddy During U.S. Open Qualifier

Another guy who seems to enjoy his time at Riviera is Charl Schwartzel. It’s hard to believe he’s only got one win on the PGA Tour in his illustrious career (2011 Masters), but that could all change this week. I knew he’s played well at Riviera, but until I’s Mike McAllister pointed out that seven of eight career rounds at Riviera have been in the 60’s, I didn’t realize how well. A guy with that track record getting 30/1 is a great bet. 

Next up is Dustin Johnson. DJ may have missed some time getting right and becoming a dad, but that doesn’t mean the eight-time PGA Tour winner didn’t play. In fact, he set the course record at Sherwood Country Club during his hiatus. He’s also played solid golf the last few weeks and looks to be rounding into championship form. He’s sandwiched a missed cut with a T-4 in 2012 and a runner-up last year in his last three starts at Riviera. At 12/1, he’s on everyone’s radar and not paying a huge money this week — but is still a solid bet. 


I really like Robert Streb this week, too. I’ve been trying to keep the picks down to a couple sure-fire bets, but this week I can’t ignore Streb. Few players have been as consistent as Streb the last six months or so and despite a win, five top 10s, a top 20 and zero missed cuts on the 2014-15 campaign, he’s still getting 60/1 money this week. You’d be hard-pressed to find a bigger low-risk/high-reward bet this week than Robert Streb. 

Brendan Steele is the last name I have for you this week. There’s no real scientific reason as to why. He played great at the Humana earlier this year, but doesn’t have the greatest track record at Riviera. That being said, his most recent result here was a T-10. Steele has as good a shot as anyone at grabbing the win this week and at 80/1, if he does you’ll be peelin’ off hundos on Monday. 

Draft Kings

Last week I almost made my first money on Draft Kings — this week, I’m guaranteeing victory. If you think you can beat me, hop over to and join the PGA $40K Chip Shot and go head-to-head with the best (me) the golf betting world has to offer — or, you know, copy my team and split the prize with me. If you give me credit, I won’t begrudge you too much. 

Jim Furyk
Robert Streb
Hunter Mahan
Webb Simpson
Keegan Bradley
Charles Howell III

There you have it, friends and degenerate wagerers. Now, if you’ll excuse me, I’m going to go kill some time watching dirt bikers wipe out on YouTube. Until next time, go and choose wisely…

– Golfstradamus


Back9Network Shows:
The Turn | Off Par | The Clubhouse | Golf Treasures | Ball Hogs | AHMAD RASHAD