All 30 players at East Lake Golf Club this week for the Tour Championship have a mathematical chance to win the FedEx Cup and the $10 million prize that comes along with it.
By now, we know that the top-5 in the standings control their own destiny — if they win the Tour Championship, they win the FedEx Cup — but what about the other 25 guys and what needs to happen?
Here are the winning scenarios for each man in the field, courtesy of PGATour.com.
1. Bryson DeChambeau
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-six finish
- Can finish as low as a T29 and still have a mathematical chance of winning
2. Justin Rose
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a top-three finish
- Can finish as low as 9th and still have a mathematical chance of winning
3. Tony Finau
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a T2 finish
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 3rd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
4. Dustin Johnson
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish
- Can finish as low as a three-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
5. Justin Thomas
- If he wins the TOUR Championship, he wins the FedExCup
- Can finish as low as a two-way tie for 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning
- Has a reasonable chance of winning with a 2nd place finish.
6. Keegan Bradley
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T2 or worse
- Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the FedExCup
7. Brooks Koepka
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 2 finishes T2 or worse
- Can finish 2nd and still have a mathematical chance of winning the FedExCup
8. Bubba Watson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 2 finishes T2 or worse
9. Billy Horschel
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 3 finishes T2 or worse
10. Cameron Smith
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
- No. 2 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 4 finishes in T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes 2nd* or worse
11. Webb Simpson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T6 or worse
- No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 4 finishes in T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
12. Jason Day
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
- No. 2 finishes 4th or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
13. Francesco Molinari
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T7 or worse
- No. 2 finishes 4th or worse
- No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
14. Phil Mickelson
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T8 or worse
- No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
- No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
15. Patrick Reed
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T9 or worse
- No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
- No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
16. Patrick Cantlay
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T10 or worse
- No. 2 finishes T4 or worse
- No. 3 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
17. Rory McIlroy
- Win the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T11 or worse
- No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 4th or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
18. Xander Schauffele
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T12 or worse
- No. 2 finishes 5th or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
19. Tommy Fleetwood
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes thre-way for 13th or worse
- No. 2 finishes T5 or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
20. Tiger Woods
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T15 or worse
- No. 2 finishes three-way for 5th or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
How Tiger Woods can win the 2018 FedEx Cup pic.twitter.com/3cxQ8YcB3d
— For The Win (@ForTheWin) September 19, 2018
21. Aaron Wise
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes three-way for 16th or worse
- No. 2 finishes three-way for 5th or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
22. Kevin Na
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T18 or worse
- No. 2 finishes T6 or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
23. Rickie Fowler
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes three-way for 19th or worse
- No. 2 finishes T6 or worse
- No. 3 finishes T3 or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
24. Jon Rahm
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T21 or worse
- No. 2 finishes in a three-way tie for 6th or worse
- No. 3 finishes two-way T3* or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
25. Kyle Stanley
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes T22 or worse
- No. 2 finishes 7th or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
26. Paul Casey
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes three-way for 23rd or worse
- No. 2 finishes T7 or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
27. Hideki Matsuyama
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes 25th* or worse
- No. 2 finishes three-way for 7th or worse
- No. 3 in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
28. Gary Woodland
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes two-way T26* or worse
- No. 2 finishes T8 or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
29. Marc Leishman
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes 28th* or worse
- No. 2 finishes three-way for 8th or worse
- No. 3 finishes in a three-way 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
30. Patton Kizzire
- Wins the TOUR Championship AND
- No. 1 finishes two-way T-29* or worse
- No. 2 finishes T9 or worse
- No. 3 in a three-way tie for 3rd or worse
- No. 4 finishes 3rd or worse
- No. 5 finishes in a three-way tie for 2nd or worse
- No. 6 finishes T2 or worse
- No. 7 finishes T2 or worse
