Golfstradamus: The Honda Classic

Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, degenerate wagerers of all ages… it’s time to place your bets for the 2019 Honda Classic. 

California and the West Coast Swing are in the rearview mirror and Florida spreads out before us. The first stop brings the world’s best to PGA National and the “Bear Trap.” As far as tests of golf go, there was no non-major tournament in 2018 that punished the Tour pros like PGA National. 

The government isn’t going to be giving you back all the money you deserve, so you’ll have to make up that loss somewhere. I can think of no better — or easier — way to recoup those losses than gambling. 

Here’s a look at your can’t-miss, no-doubt, surefire, mortal locks for this week’s Honda Classic:

The Honda Classic
PGA National (Champion) – Palm Beach Gardens, Florida
February 28 – March 3, 2019

ODDS to Win:
Justin Thomas 5/1
Rickie Fowler 10/1
Brooks Koepka 12/1
Sergio Garcia 16/1
Adam Scott 14/1
Gary Woodland 18/1
Webb Simpson 20/1
Cameron Smith 25/1
Daniel Berger 30/1
Billy Horschel 30/1
Emiliano Grillo 30/1
Alex Noren 40/1
Byeong Hun An 40/1
Luke List 40/1
Zach Johnson 50/1
Russell Knox 50/1
Michael Thompson 50/1
Lucas Glover 50/1
Jason Kokrak 50/1
Scott Piercy 50/1
Matt Wallace 60/1
Charl Schwartzel 60/1
Sungjae Im 60/1
Kiradech Aphibarnrat 60/1
Russell Henley 60/1
Graeme McDowell 60/1
Dylan Frittelli 80/1
Trey Mullinax 80/1
J.T. Poston 80/1
C.T. Pan 100/1
Patton Kizzire 100/1
Ryan Palmer 100/1
Talor Gooch 100/1
Harold Varner III 100/1
Jim Furyk 100/1
Brian Harman 100/1
Sung Kang 100/1
Kyle Stanley 100/1
Austin Cook 100/1
Joaquin Niemann 100/1
Martin Kaymer 100/1
Patrick Rodgers 125/1
Bud Cauley 125/1
Scott Brown 125/1
Brian Gay 125/1
Chris Stroud WD
Scott Langley 125/1
Kevin Tway 125/1
Jimmy Walker 125/1
Brendan Steele 125/1
Stewart Cink 125/1
Sam Burns 125/1
Chesson Hadley 125/1
Kevin Streelman 125/1
Nick Watney 125/1
Jhonattan Vegas 125/1
Lucas Bjerregaard 150/1
Peter Uihlein 150/1
Martin Trainer 150/1
Joel Dahmen 150/1
Johnson Wagner 150/1
Danny Lee 150/1
Ollie Schniederjans 150/1
Jason Dufner 125/1
Kelly Kraft 150/1
Nick Taylor 150/1
Padraig Harrington WD
Matt Jones 150/1
Chris Kirk 150/1
Bill Haas 150/1
Ernie Els 200/1
Anirban Lahiri 200/1
Harris English 200/1
Cameron Davis 200/1
Curtis Luck 200/1
Adam Long 250/1
Satoshi Kodaira 250/1
Hunter Mahan 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
Field (all others) 9/1

Mortal Locks

Justin Thomas – Taking the favorite every week is getting boring, but I feel like I have to. When someone is a hot as Justin Thomas — not to mention the defending champion of the event — you’ve got to be paying attention. While 5/1 money is nothing when betting golf, it’s still (almost) free money. Bet the farm on JT at PGA. 

Gary Woodland – One guy you might be overlooking this week is Gary Woodland. I know, I know, it’s way too early to really be looking at FedExCup points, but Woodland’s third-place standing says a lot about the golf he’s been playing. Sitting there without the benefit of a win on the campaign, Woodland has been the model of consistency, collecting two runner-up finishes and six top-10s thus far. At 18/1, that victory could come this week. 

Best Bets

Webb Simpson – One of the more consistent players in the last four months has been Webb Simpson. Since the end of the FedExCup Playoffs in 2018, Webber has put together a string of six top-20 finishes. Not exactly setting the world on fire, but his steady performance suggests he might be ready to bust through. His putting is no longer a liability and at 20/1, Simpson is a great sleeper choice for the Honda. 

Michael Thompson – Already a winner at PGA National, Michael Thompson is coming in hot and looking to continue to build on that momentum. Thompson has very quietly collected four consecutive top-15 finishes in his last four starts. If you like trends, then you have to like Thompson. At 50/1, you’ll be rewarded handsomely.

Fun Under $5

Graeme McDowell – It’s been a good long while since I’ve been able to pencil in Graeme McDowell’s name anywhere on these pages, but this week’s Honda Classic makes some sense. McDowell is finally (maybe?) healthy and is teeing it up at PGA National looking to get his game back on track. After a T-18 at Pebble a few weeks back and a T-42 last week in Puerto Rico, I’m willing to take a small chance on the Irishman at 60/1. 

There you have it, friends and degenerates. Now if you’ll excuse me, I’ve got to find a flight to West Palm. I’ve got a feeling I’ll have another victory party to attend. 

Until next time, friends and degenerates, go and choose wisely...